Southeast Asian Affairs 2017

Contents 6
Foreword 10
Introduction 12
Acknowledgements 22
The Region 23
SOUTHEAST ASIA IN AN AGE OF STRATEGIC UNCERTAINTY 23
SOUTHEAST ASIAN ECONOMIES 41
FORGING THE ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY, 2015 TO 2016 — AND BEYOND 65
SOUTHEAST ASIA’S DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION, REGIONAL VARIATIONS, AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES 77
U.S.–JAPAN–AUSTRALIA STRATEGIC COOPERATION IN THE TRUMP ERA 105
BLURRING THE DISTINCTION BETWEEN HUAQIAO AND HUAREN 123
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM IN 2016 137
Brunei Darussalam 137
2016: A PROMISING YEAR FOR CAMBODIA? 153
Cambodia 153

Contents 6
Foreword 10
Introduction 12
Acknowledgements 22
The Region 23
SOUTHEAST ASIA IN AN AGE OF STRATEGIC UNCERTAINTY 23
SOUTHEAST ASIAN ECONOMIES 41
FORGING THE ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY, 2015 TO 2016 — AND BEYOND 65
SOUTHEAST ASIA’S DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION, REGIONAL VARIATIONS, AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES 77
U.S.–JAPAN–AUSTRALIA STRATEGIC COOPERATION IN THE TRUMP ERA 105
BLURRING THE DISTINCTION BETWEEN HUAQIAO AND HUAREN 123
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM IN 2016 137
Brunei Darussalam 137
2016: A PROMISING YEAR FOR CAMBODIA? 153
Cambodia 153
Indonesia 169
INDONESIA IN 2016 169
INDONESIA’S FOREIGN POLICY IN 2016 185
Laos 199
REGIME RENEWAL IN LAOS 199
Malaysia 223
MALAYSIA IN 2016 223
REALIGNMENT OF STATE–CENTRE RELATIONS 243
Myanmar 257
MYANMAR’S NEW ERA 257
EMERGING PATTERN OF CIVIL–MILITARY RELATIONS 281
Philippines 297
THE PHILIPPINES IN 2016 297
UNCERTAINTY IN DUTERTE’S MUSLIM MINDANAO 319
SINGAPORE IN 2016 335
Singapore 335
THE THREAT OF TERRORISM AND EXTREMISM 357
Thailand 373
Thailand 373
THAILAND’S NORTHEAST “PROBLEM” IN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE 389
TIMOR-LESTE IN 2016 407
Timor-Leste 407
VIETNAM IN 2016 427
Vietnam 427
THE 2016 LEADERSHIP CHANGE IN VIETNAM AND ITS LONG-TERM IMPLICATIONS 443